How History Chart of a Project Can Impact your Strategy

Handy Tips / 22.04.2021

History charts of cryptocurrency are available in different formats, including bar graphs, line graphs, and candlestick charts. The most popular is the candlestick chart in analyzing the market behavior of bitcoin and cryptocurrency. Most traders spend considerable time trying to understand how a market’s history relates to its future.

Whether a beginner or a novice in trading, an excellent technical analysis strategy is fundamental for successful trading. The analysis performed on historical charts helps determine future prices and possible price fluctuations of bitcoin. The strategy used is also primarily influenced by the history chart of a project in various ways, as discussed in this guide.

History Charts

History charts are data representations used to eliminate past mistakes while enhancing the chances of profit realization. They show market-related data, including volatility, price, tendencies, concealed patterns, and volumes. There is no ‘best’ pattern chart as each highlights notable trends in different markets.

There can only be the best chart that favors your trading strategy. Most beginners often find it challenging to read trading charts. Even seasoned traders sometimes find it hard to understand some charts; hence you should not hurry to learn.

It is essential to note that the main aspects of the price considered in the data analysis are open, close, highest, and lowest prices traded at any given time frame.

Chart Patterns

Chart patterns are classified into three wide groups: bilateral, reversal, and continuation patterns. A reversal pattern indicates a possible change in general market prices, while a continuation pattern indicates that the current trend will go on. For a bilateral pattern, it signals that price levels can transition either way.

Chart patterns largely influence the strategy implemented. For instance, traders can take a position with CFDs for all the different patterns because they allow one to either go long or short. Traders usually go short in a bearish market and long in a bullish market.

Back Testing

This is a vital part of an effective trading strategy. It is achieved through reconstruction with historic charts of possible trades that would have been profitable. The outcome provides data that help determine the effectiveness of a strategy. The supporting theory is that any strategy that would have worked well or poorly in the past will portray a similar behavior in the future.

Unfortunately, chart patterns do not guarantee that price will move in a particular predicted direction. It is crucial to incorporate other strategies such as backtesting. It gives valuable feedback about a specific strategy such as:

  • Volatility Index measures – extreme percentage in the downside and upside
  • Net profit or loss – net gain or loss
  • Risk-adjusted return
  • Ratios – loss to win ratios
  • Expected Annual returns
  • Averages

Enhanced Accuracy of Strategies

A trader can anticipate future cryptos’ future prices by studying how a market behaved in the past. The trader knows what to expect; hence sudden, volatile movements would not shock them, leading to irrational decisions. Trends are often accurate indicators of the expected direction of movement of prices.

Going against a trend will cost you significant losses. Time is also a crucial factor in trading. A delay in execution could mean the difference between lower and higher margins. Enhanced accuracy thus gives the trader the confidence they need to execute trades without hesitation.

More Pros of Historical Data Analysis in Trading

Historical price action charts are essential for backtesting and predicting possible price action. One of the pillars of trading strategies is that markets are repetitive and that these repetitions are quantifiable and predictable.

It is easy to observe a chart and notice a point where a signal formed, resulting in profits. There are different types of charts, mainly classified according to different time frames.

Technical analysis of historical chart data is vital in different ways:

  • Reliability – the execution of trades with a predetermined outcome gives traders confidence in the expected outcome. Understanding what happened after a particular signal in the charts and the expected outcome can be deduced
  • Market Awareness – through historical chart analysis, a trader gains insight into the type of characteristics exhibited in the market regularly and the out-of-the-ordinary characteristics
  • Strategy development – an in-depth understanding of how and when to trade in a crypto market is the basis of a trading strategy development. Different strategies work differently with each individual; hence try and find one that best suits you

Challenges of Historical Chart Analysis on Trading Strategies

Historical chart data study is a powerful tool in strategy development. Nonetheless, there are certain pitfalls every trader ought to be cautious about that could cripple their efforts to profit from the market.

Data Omissions/Errors

There is a likelihood of inaccurately reading the historical data of charts, especially during backtesting. A minor error could impact the outcome significantly with time. This factor is especially true while analyzing intraday charts or smaller time frames. For bigger time frames, minor errors may have negligible impacts.

Hindsight Bias

This is the habit of traders assuming that it can predict unforeseeable events before time. It severely affects the accuracy of a backtesting strategy and compromises the objective of a study to determine the actual outcome of price action.

Undermining Randomness

In a crypto market, unexpected occurrences are a considerable part. Your strategy may have great results during backtesting, but it may not necessarily duplicate things in the future. Various factors such as increased volatility, pandemics, and slippage affect the reliability of a strategy.

Conclusion

Analysis of historical charts helps predict the future behavior of crypto markets to enhance the reliability of trading strategies. Through this analysis, traders can eliminate possible mistakes and capitalize on the market to generate profits.

However, it is essential to analyze charts with caution because a wrong analysis could lead to the loss of your hard-earned money. Errors may be inevitable, but with good research, and informed decision-making, backtesting can prove a good tool for any trader. Analyzing history charts is one of the best methods to develop a good trading strategy.

Adam is an outgoing young lad who likes adventures and discovering new things. Despite his boring life, he loves writing about cryptocurrencies and exploring what blockchain technology can do for the coming digital world where all adventures will be virtual.